Covid-19 and Sustainable Tourism

Macroeconomic Effect and Policy Comparison among Europe, the USA and China

Authors

  • Mohammad Monirul Islam Dhaka University
  • Farha Fatema University of Dhaka

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18034/abr.v10i1.462

Keywords:

Covid-19, tourism sector, macroeconomic effects, domestic tourism, international tourism, global economic crises

Abstract

This study examines the potential macroeconomic effects of Covid-19 on the tourism sector of Europe, the USA, and China as well as provides policy suggestions in light of previous scholarly works. The study finds that the global tourism sector is geocentric and the tourism sector of EU countries is interdependent. The study also finds strong domestic tourism in the USA and China whereas domestic tourism in EU countries is not that strong. As domestic tourism is less income-elastic than international tourism countries should promote domestic tourism to recover the loss of this sector from the adverse effect of Covid-19. Although the probable loss of the tourism sector can be estimated with reference to the recent previous global economic crises, the study assumes far-reaching and massive effects of Covid-19 on the tourism sector due to strictly restricted or banned global and domestic travel as well as the unknown duration of the pandemic. The study also finds the similarity of age groups participating in tourism and infected and died by Covid-19. So, combined and comprehensive policies should be formulated to save the international tourism sector from the drastic catastrophe of Covid-19.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biographies

Mohammad Monirul Islam, Dhaka University

Assistant Professor, Department of International Business (IB), Faculty of Business Studies, University of Dhaka, BANGLADESH

Farha Fatema, University of Dhaka

Assistant Professor, Department of International Business (IB), Faculty of Business Studies, University of Dhaka, BANGLADESH

References

Baldwin, R., & Tomiura, E. (2020). Thinking ahead about the trade impact of COVID-19. In R. Baldwin & B. W. di Mauro (Eds.), Economics in the Time of COVID-19: A VoxEU.org Book, Centre for Economic Policy Research, London.

Barua, S. (2020). Understanding Coronanomics: The economic implications of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. MPRA Paper No. 99693, Online at https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/99693/.

Boone, L., Haugh, D., Pain, N., & Salins, V. (2020). Tackling the fallout from COVID-19. In R. Baldwin & B. W. di Mauro (Eds.), Economics in the Time of COVID-19: A VoxEU.org Book, Centre for Economic Policy Research, London.

Cao, Z., Li, G., & Song, H. (2017). Modelling the interdependence of tourism demand: The global vector autoregressive approach. Annals of Tourism Research, 67, 1-13.

Carlsson-Szlezak, P., Reeves, M., & Swartz, P. (2020). Understanding the economic shock of coronavirus. Harvard Business Review, Accessed 29 March 2020 at: https://hbr.org/2020/03/understanding-the-economic-shock-of-coronavirus.

di Mauro, B. W. (2020). Macroeconomics of the flu. In “”, Baldwin Weder di Mauro. In R. Baldwin & B. W. di Mauro (Eds.), Economics in the Time of COVID-19: A VoxEU.org Book, Centre for Economic Policy Research, London.

El-Erian, M. (2020). The Coming Coronavirus Recession and the Uncharted Territory Beyond. Foreign Affairs, Accessed 27 March 2020 at: (https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/2020-03-17/coming-coronavirus-recession).

Eugenio-Martin, J. L., & Campos-Soria, J. A. (2011). Income and the substitution pattern between domestic and international tourism demand. Applied Economics, 43(20), 2519-2531.

Gopinath, G. (2020). Limiting the economic fallout of the coronavirus with large targeted policies. In R. Baldwin & B. W. di Mauro (Eds.), Mitigating the COVID Economic Crisis: Act Fast and Do Whatever: A VoxEU.org Book, Centre for Economic Policy Research, London.

Hall, R. E., & Jones, C. I. (2007). The value of life and the rise in health spending. The quarterly journal of economics, 122(1), 39-72.

Hutt, R. (2020). The economic effects of COVID-19 around the world. World Economic Forum. Accessed 22 March 2020 at:, https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/02/coronavirus-economic-effects-global-economy-trade-travel/.

IMF. (2020). World Economic Outlook Chapter 1: The Great Lockdown (https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Isues/2020/2004/2014/weo-april-2020).

McKibbin, W. J., & Fernando, R. (2020). The global macroeconomic impacts of COVID-19. In R. Baldwin & B. W. di Mauro (Eds.), Economics in the Time of COVID-19.: A VoxEU.org Book, Centre for Economic Policy Research, London.

Milliken, D. (2020). Coronavirus hits UK economy with unprecedented force. Reuters, Accessed 26 Match 2020 at:(https://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-economy-pmi/coronavirus-hits-uk-economy-with-unprecedented-force-idUSKBN21B14A).

Pallini, T. (2020). 64 global airlines have completely stopped flying scheduled flights due to travel bans, airspace closures, and low demand for travel — see the full list. Business Insider, Accessed April 1, 2020 at: (https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-global-airlines-stopping-flights-suspending-operations-2020-3).

Pickert, R. (2020). U.S. Jobless Claims Jump to 3.28 Million, Quadruple Prior Record. Bloomberg, Accessed 28 March 2020 (https://www.bloomberg.com/ news/ articles/2020-03-26/ u-s-jobless-claims-surged-to-record-3-28-million-last-week).

Surveillances, V. (2020). The epidemiological characteristics of an outbreak of 2019 novel coronavirus diseases (COVID-19)—China, 2020. China CDC Weekly, 2(8), 113-122.

Tooze, A. (2020). Is the Coronavirus Crash Worse Than the 2008 Financial Crisis. Foreign Policy, 27 (https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/03/18/coronavirus-economic-crash-2008-financial-crisis-worse/).

UNWTO. (2020). Impact assessment of the COVID 19 outbreak on international tourism. March 24, 2020, https://webunwto.s3.eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/2020-03/24-03Coronavirus.pdf.

WHO. (2018). Managing epidemics: key facts about major deadly diseases: https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/managing-epidemics-interactive.pdf.

WTTC. (2019). Economic Impact Report. https://wttc.org/en-us/Research/Economic-Impact.

Yagihashi, T., & Du, J. (2015). Health care inflation and its implications for monetary policy. Economic Inquiry, 53(3), 1556-1579.

Yang, Y., Zhang, H., & Chen, X. (2020). Coronavirus pandemic and tourism: Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium modeling of infectious disease outbreak. Annals of Tourism Research, forthcoming.

--0--

Published

2020-04-30

How to Cite

Islam, M. M. ., & Fatema, F. . (2020). Covid-19 and Sustainable Tourism: Macroeconomic Effect and Policy Comparison among Europe, the USA and China. Asian Business Review, 10(1), 53–60. https://doi.org/10.18034/abr.v10i1.462