Financial Engineering and AI: Developing Predictive Models for Market Volatility

Authors

  • Prasanna Pasam Developer IV Specialized, Fannie Mae. 2000 Opportunity Wy, Reston, VA, USA
  • Kanaka Rakesh Varma Kothapalli Consultant, Regulatory Reporting, BHCRR Adenza Project, Yotta Systems Inc., New Jersey, USA
  • Rahimoddin Mohammed Software Engineer, Credit Risk, UBS, 1000 Harbor Blvd, Weehawken, NJ 07086, USA
  • Md. Shelim Miah Assistant Professor, Southeast Business School, Southeast University, Dhaka, Bangladesh
  • Srinivas Addimulam Senior Manager (Lead Data Engineer), CVS Health, 909 E Collins Blvd, Richardson, TX, 75081, USA

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18034/abr.v14i1.724

Keywords:

Financial Engineering, Artificial Intelligence, Predictive Models, Market Volatility, Risk Management, Algorithmic Trading, Machine Learning, Quantitative Finance

Abstract

This paper examines financial engineering's use of AI to anticipate market volatility. To determine their efficacy, machine learning and deep learning are compared to ARCH and GARCH models. The study reviews secondary data and empirical experiments to assess AI-based model performance, strengths, and weaknesses. AI approaches outperform conventional methods in complex and turbulent markets because of their improved forecasting accuracy, adaptability, and capacity to capture non-linear market dynamics. AI models' interpretability, processing costs, and dependence on massive datasets restrict their acceptance. Policy implications underline the need for transparent, accountable, and ethical AI regulation in financial markets. The research also shows hybrid models that mix conventional and AI methods may improve volatility predictions while resolving interpretability issues. Overall, AI in financial modeling improves knowledge of market volatility and management.

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Published

2024-04-30

How to Cite

Pasam, P., Kothapalli, K. R. V., Mohammed, R., Miah, M. S., & Addimulam, S. (2024). Financial Engineering and AI: Developing Predictive Models for Market Volatility. Asian Business Review, 14(1), 43-52. https://doi.org/10.18034/abr.v14i1.724

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