Should Investor invest in both future and spot market? : An Analysis through Optimal Hedge Ratio
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.18034/abr.v1i1.140Keywords:
Hedge Ratio, Futures Market, Spot Market, Causal RelationshipAbstract
This study is to estimate optimal hedge ratio with the variables from Indian futures and spot market and also nineteen individual stock prices. Diagonal VEC-GARCH model is used for the period from June 2000 to June 2011. The Empirical results confirm that there is effective risk sharing and hedging processes in Indian futures market. It is also found that Indian futures and spot markets have strong causal relationship; which allows the trader to make perfect arbitrage process and hedge their risks.
Downloads
References
Alizadesh, A., & Nomikos, N. (2004). A Markov Regime switching Approach for Hedging stock indices. The Journal of Futures markets 24 , 649-674.
Aretz, K., Bartram, S. M., & Dufey, G. (2007). Why hedge rationales for corporate hedging and Value implications. The Journal of Risk Finance 8 , 434-449.
Bertsimas, D., Kogan, L., & Lo, A. W. (2001). Hedging Derivatives securities and imcompletes markets- An E- arbitrage approach. Operation Research 49,3 , 372-397.
Bhaduri, S. N., & Durai, R. S. (2008). Optimal Hedge Ratio and Hedging effectiveness of stock index futures evidence from India . Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging market economics 1 , 121-134.
Chan, K. L. (2010). The Optimal value at risk hedging strategy under byvariate regime switching ARCH frame work. Applied Economics , 1-14.
Charness, J. M., & Koch, P. (2003). Measuring Hedging Effectiveness for FAST-133Complience . Journal of Applied Corporate Finance 15,4 , 95-104.
Chen, S. -S., Lee, C. -F., & Shretha, K. (2004). An empirical analysis of the relationship between the hedge ratio and hedging hirizon- A si-multaneous estimation of the short and long run hedge ratios. The Journal of Futures Markets 24 , 359-386.
Daigler, R. T. (1998). A futures duration convexity hedging method. The Financial Review 33 , 61-80.
Guay, W., & P, K. S. (2003). How much Do firms Hedge with deriva-tives. Journal of Financial Economics 70 , 423-461.
Gupta, K., & Singh, B. (2006). An examination of price discovery and hedging efficiency of equity futures markets. Working papers SSRN , 1-24.
Gupta, K., & Singh, B. (2009). Estimating the optimal hedge ratio in the Indian Equity Futures market. The IUP Journal of Financial Risk Management 6 , 39-98.
Harris, R. D. (2006). Hedging and Value at Risk . The Journal of Futures Market 26 , 369-390.
Holmes, P. (1995). Ex ante Hedge Ratio and the hedging effectiveness of the FTSE-100 stock index futures contracts . Applied Economics Letters 2 , 56-59.
Instefjord, N. (2005). Risk and Hedging, Do credit derivatives increases bank risk ? Journal of Banking and Finance 29 , 333-345.
J, A. N., & Roca, E. (2006). Calculating the Optiamal Hedge Ratio Constant, Time Varying and the Kalman Filter Approach. Applied Economics Letter 13 , 293-299.
Jones, R. A., & Perignon, C. (2009). Derivatives clearing and systematic risk. Working papers SSRN , 1-40. 17. Kaussanos, M. G., & Nomikos, N. K. (2000). Futures hedging when the structure of the underlying assets changes- The case of the BISFEX contacts. The Journal of Futures Markets 20,8 , 775-801.
Kavussanos, M. G., & Visvikis, I. D. (2008). Hedging effectiveness of the Athens Stock Index Futures contracts. The Eropean Journal of Finance 14 , 243-270.
Kenourgios, D., Samitas, A., & Drosos, P. (2008). Hedge ratio estima-tion and hedging effectiveness- The case of S&P 500stock index futures contracts. International Journal of Risk assessment and manage-ment 9 , 121-134.
Lee, M. C., & Hung, J. -C. (2007). Hedging for Multiperiod down side risk in the presence of jump dynamics and conditional heteroskedasticity. Applied Economics 39 , 2403- 2412.
Li, M. Y. (2010). Dynamic hedge ratio for stock index futures - Ap-plication of thresh hold VECM. Applied Economics 42 , 1403-1417.
Lien, D., & Shrestha, K. (2007). An empirical analysis of relationship between Hege Ratio and Hedging Horizon Using Walvet Analysis . The Journal of Futures Markets 27 , 127-150.
Lien, D., & Tse, Y. K. (1999). Fractional Cointegration and Futures hedging . The Journal of Futures Markets 19,4 , 457-474.
Lien, D., & Tse, Y. K. (2002). Some recent development in Futures Hedging. Journal of Economic Survey 16,3 , 357-396.
Low, A., Muthuswamy, J., Sarkar, S., & Terry, E. (20023). Multiperiod Hedging with Futures Contracts . The Journal of Futures Markets 22,12 , 1179-1203.
Maynard, L. J., Hancock, S., & Hoagland, H. (2001). Performance of Shrimp Futures markets as price discovery and hedging mechanism . Aquaculture Economics and Management 5 , 115-128.
Moon, G. H., Yu, W. C., & Hong, C. H. (2008). Dynamic hedging perfomance with the evaluation of Multivariate Garch models- Evidence from KOSTAR index futures . Working papers series SSRN , 1-19.
Myers, R. J. (1991). Esimating Time varying Optimal Hedge Ratios on Futures Markets. The Journal of Futures markets 20,1 , 73-87.
Naik, N. Y., & Yadav, P. K. (2003). Risk Management withDerivatives by dealers and market quality in Govt. bond markets. The Journal of Finance 58 , 1873-1904.
Ralevski, O. (2008). Hedging in the art market, creating art derivatives. Working Papers Series SSRN , 1-58.
Rao, N., & Thakur, S. K. (2004). Optimal hedge ratio and Hedging Efficiency- An empirical efficiency of hedging in Indian derivatives markets. Working Papers Series , 1-23.
Speight, A. E., Millan, D. G., & Gwilym, O. A. (2000) Intraday Volatility Components on FTSE-100 Stock Index futures . The Journal of Futures Markets 20,5 , 425-444.
Sultan, J., & Hasan, M. S. (2008). The effectiveness of dynamic hedging- Evidence from selected European stock index futures. The European Journal of Finance 14 , 469- 488.
Yang, W., & Allen, D. E. (2004), Multivariate GARCH Hedge Ratio and Hedging Effectivenes in Australian Futures Markets . Accouting and Finance 45 , 301-321.
--0--
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Asian Business Review is an Open Access journal. Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal the right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a CC BY-NC 4.0 International License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of their work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal. We require authors to inform us of any instances of re-publication.