Environmental Air Quality and Health: Evidence from Trade Liberalization
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.18034/ajtp.v8i1.508Keywords:
Trade Liberalization, Pollution, Air Quality, Health, Fetal Origin Hypothesis, Birth Outcomes, Panel Data, Environmental HealthAbstract
This paper explores the potential externality of trade liberalization between the US and China on air pollution and infants’ health outcomes. Exploiting the differential impact of tariff reductions due to trade liberalization across industries combined with compositional variations of industry-specific employment across counties as the main source of identification strategy and using the universe of birth records in the US over the years 1990-2017 (over 97 million observations), we document substantial improvements in birth outcomes of mothers residing in counties with higher exposure to trade policy change. The exposed counties experienced sharp drops in employment specifically for manufacturing industries and revealed sharp reductions in a wide array of pollutants. A 1 percent reduction in tariff rates is associated with an 11.5 and 12.7 percentage point reduction in the likelihood of low birth weight and preterm birth, respectively.
Downloads
References
Aizer, A., and McLanahan, S. (2006). The impact of child support enforcement on fertility, parental investments, and child well-being. Journal of Human Resources, 41(1), 28–45. https://doi.org/10.3368/jhr.XLI.1.28 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3368/jhr.XLI.1.28
Almond, D., and Currie, J. (2011a). Human capital development before age five. In Handbook of Labor Economics (Vol. 4, Issue PART B). Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0169-7218(11)02413-0 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0169-7218(11)02413-0
Almond, D., and Currie, J. (2011b) . Killing me softly: The fetal origins hypothesis. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 25(3), 153–172. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.25.3.153 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.25.3.153
Antweiler, W., Copeland, B. R., and Taylor, M. S. (2001). Is free trade good for the environment? American Economic Review, 91(4), 877–908. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.91.4.877 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.91.4.877
Autor, D., Dorn, D., and Hanson, G. (2019). When Work Disappears: Manufacturing Decline and the Falling Marriage Market Value of Young Men. American Economic Review: Insights, 1(2), 161–178. https://doi.org/10.1257/aeri.20180010 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/aeri.20180010
Barker, D. J. (1990). The fetal and infant origins of adult disease. BMJ: British Medical Journal, 301(6761), 1111. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.301.6761.1111
Beach, B., and Hanlon, W. W. (2016). Coal smoke and mortality in an early industrial economy. The Economic Journal.
Benarroch, M., and Gaisford, J. (2014). Intra-industry Trade Liberalization and the Environment. Review of International Economics, 22(5), 886–904. https://doi.org/10.1111/roie.12143 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/roie.12143
Chatterji, P., Lahiri, K., and Kim, D. (2014). Fetal growth and neurobehavioral outcomes in childhood. Economics and Human Biology, 15, 187–200. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ehb.2014.09.002 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ehb.2014.09.002
Cherniwchan, J. (2017). Trade liberalization and the environment: Evidence from NAFTA and U.S. manufacturing. Journal of International Economics, 105, 130–149. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2017.01.005 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2017.01.005
Chou, S. Y., Liu, J. T., Grossman, M., and Joyce, T. (2010). Parental education and child health: Evidence from a natural experiment in Taiwan. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 2(1), 33–61. https://doi.org/10.1257/app.2.1.33 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/app.2.1.33
Colantone, I., and Stanig, P. (2018). The Trade Origins of Economic Nationalism: Import Competition and Voting Behavior in Western Europe. American Journal of Political Science, 62(4), 936–953. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12358 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12358
Cole, N., and Currie, J. (1993). Welfare and child health: The link between AFDC participation and birth weight. American Economic Review, 83(4), 971–985. https://doi.org/10.2307/2117589
Copeland, B. R. (2013). Trade and the Environment. Palgrave Handbook of International Trade, 423–496. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-230-30531-1_15
Corman, H., Dave, D., Reichman, N. E., Corman, H., Dave, D., and Reichman, N. E. (2019). The Effects of Prenatal Care on Birth Outcomes: Reconciling a Messy Literature. In Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Economics and Finance. Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780190625979.013.375 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780190625979.013.375
Currie, J., and Moretti, E. (2003). Mother’s Education and the Intergenerational Transmission of Human Capital: Evidence from College Openings. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 118(4), 1495–1532. https://doi.org/10.1162/003355303322552856 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1162/003355303322552856
Currie, Janet, Neidell, M., and Schmieder, J. F. (2009). Air pollution and infant health: Lessons from New Jersey. Journal of Health Economics, 28(3), 688–703. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2009.02.001 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2009.02.001
Dix-Carneiro, R., Soares, R. R., and Ulyssea, G. (2018). Economic shocks and crime: Evidence from the Brazilian trade liberalization. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 10(4), 158–195. https://doi.org/10.1257/app.20170080 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/app.20170080
Ederington, J., Levinson, A., and Minier, J. (2004). Trade liberalization and pollution havens. In Advances in Economic Analysis and Policy (Vol. 4, Issue 2). Berkeley Electronic Press. https://doi.org/10.2202/1538-0637.1330 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2202/1538-0637.1330
Feenstra, R., Romalis, J., and Schott, P. (2002). U.S. Imports, Exports, and Tariff Data, 1989-2001. https://doi.org/10.3386/w9387 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3386/w9387
Feler, L., and Senses, M. Z. (2017). Trade shocks and the provision of local public goods. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 9(4), 101–143. https://doi.org/10.1257/pol.20150578 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/pol.20150578
Feng, J., Xie, Q., and Zhang, X. (2021). Trade liberalization and the health of working-age adults: Evidence from China. World Development, 139, 105344. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2020.105344 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2020.105344
Figlio, D., Guryan, J., Karbownik, K., and Roth, J. (2014). The effects of poor neonatal health on children’s cognitive development? American Economic Review, 104(12), 4205–4230. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.104.12.3921 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.104.12.3921
Forslid, R., Okubo, T., and Sanctuary, M. (2017). Trade Liberalization, Transboundary Pollution, and Market Size. Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, 4(3), 927–957. https://doi.org/10.1086/693562 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/693562
Fung, K. C., and Maechler, A. M. (2007). Trade liberalization and the environment: The case of intra-industry trade. Journal of International Trade and Economic Development, 16(1), 53–69. https://doi.org/10.1080/09638190601165509 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/09638190601165509
Gage, T. B., Fang, F., O’Neill, E., and DiRienzo, G. (2013). Maternal Education, Birth Weight, and Infant Mortality in the United States. Demography, 50(2), 615–635. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-012-0148-2 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-012-0148-2
Gale IV, L. R. (1995). Trade Liberalization and Pollution: An Input-Output Study of Carbon Dioxide Emissions in Mexico. Economic Systems Research, 7(3), 309–320. https://doi.org/10.1080/09535319500000026 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/09535319500000026
Ghani, G. M. (2012). Does trade liberalization effect energy consumption? Energy Policy, 43, 285–290. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2012.01.005 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2012.01.005
Hilaly, A. K., and Sikdar, S. K. (1994). Pollution balance: A new methodology for minimizing waste production in manufacturing processes. Journal of the Air and Waste Management Association, 44(11), 1303–1308. https://doi.org/10.1080/10473289.1994.10467325 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/10473289.1994.10467325
Hill, E. L. (2018). Shale gas development and infant health: Evidence from Pennsylvania. Journal of Health Economics, 61, 134–150. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2018.07.004 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2018.07.004
Hoynes, H., Miller, D., and Simon, D. (2015). Income, the earned income tax credit, and infant health. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 7(1), 172–211. https://doi.org/10.1257/pol.20120179 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/pol.20120179
Hu, B., and McKitrick, R. (2016). Decomposing the Environmental Effects of Trade Liberalization: The Case of Consumption-Generated Pollution. Environmental and Resource Economics, 64(2), 205–223. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10640-014-9865-x DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10640-014-9865-x
Hubbard, T. P. (2014). Trade and transboundary pollution: quantifying the effects of trade liberalization on CO2 emissions. Applied Economics, 46(5), 483–502. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2013.857000 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2013.857000
Joyce, T. (1999). Impact of augmented prenatal care on birth outcomes of Medicaid recipients in New York City. Journal of Health Economics, 18(1), 31–67. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-6296(98)00027-7 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-6296(98)00027-7
Larsson, D. G. J. (2014). Pollution from drug manufacturing: review and perspectives. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 369(1656), 20130571. https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2013.0571 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2013.0571
Leonard, J., and Mas, A. (2008). Welfare reform, time limits, and infant health. Journal of Health Economics, 27(6), 1551–1566. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2008.05.013 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2008.05.013
Levinson, A. (2009). Technology, international trade, and pollution from US manufacturing. American Economic Review, 99(5), 2177–2192. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.99.5.2177 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.99.5.2177
Lindo, J. M. (2011). Parental job loss and infant health. Journal of Health Economics, 30(5), 869–879. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2011.06.008 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2011.06.008
Noghani, F., and Noghanibehambari, H. (2019). Product Market Competition, Corporate Governance, and Managerial Slack: Evidence from Trade Liberalization. Journal of Leadership, Accountability and Ethics, 16(4). https://doi.org/10.33423/jlae.v16i4.2372 DOI: https://doi.org/10.33423/jlae.v16i4.2372
NoghaniBehambari, H., Noghani, F., and Tavassoli, N. (2020). Early Life Income Shocks and Old-Age Cause-Specific Mortality. Economic Analysis, 53(2), 1–19.
NoghaniBehambari, H., Noghani, F., Tavassoli, N., and Toranji, M. (2020). Long Term Effects of in Utero Exposure to “The Year without a Summer.” SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3668739 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3668739
Noghanibehambari, H., and Salari, M. (2020). Health benefits of social insurance. Health Economics. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/hec.4170
Olper, A., Curzi, D., and Swinnen, J. (2018). Trade liberalization and child mortality: A Synthetic Control Method. World Development, 110, 394–410. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2018.05.034 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2018.05.034
Pierce, J. R., and Schott, P. K. (2020). Trade Liberalization and Mortality: Evidence from US Counties. American Economic Review: Insights, 2(1), 47–63. https://doi.org/10.1257/aeri.20180396 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/aeri.20180396
Pierson, K., Hand, M. L., and Thompson, F. (2015). The government finance database: A common resource for quantitative research in public financial analysis. PLoS ONE, 10(6). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0130119 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0130119
Rosenzweig, M. R., and Wolpin, K. I. (1995). Sisters, Siblings, and Mothers: The Effect of Teen-Age Childbearing on Birth Outcomes in a Dynamic Family Context. Econometrica, 63(2), 303. https://doi.org/10.2307/2951628 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2951628
Rossin, M. (2011). The effects of maternity leave on children’s birth and infant health outcomes in the United States. Journal of Health Economics, 30(2), 221–239. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2011.01.005 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2011.01.005
SEER. (2019). Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program (www.seer.cancer.gov) Research Data (1975-2016). National Cancer Institute, DCCPS, Surveillance Research Program.
Shen, J. (2008). Trade liberalization and environmental degradation in China. Applied Economics, 40(8), 997–1004. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036840600771148 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036840600771148
Sonchak, L. (2015). Medicaid reimbursement, prenatal care and infant health. Journal of Health Economics, 44, 10–24. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2015.08.008 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2015.08.008
Tavassoli, N., Noghanibehambari, H., Noghani, F., and Toranji, M. (2020). Upswing in Industrial Activity and Infant Mortality during Late 19th Century US. Journal of Environments, 6(1), 1–13. https://doi.org/10.20448/journal.505.2020.61.1.13 DOI: https://doi.org/10.20448/journal.505.2020.61.1.13
Torche, F. (2011). The Effect of Maternal Stress on Birth Outcomes: Exploiting a Natural Experiment. Demography, 48(4), 1473–1491. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-011-0054-z DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-011-0054-z
Wherry, L. R., Miller, S., Kaestner, R., and Meyer, B. D. (2018). Childhood medicaid coverage and later-life health care utilization. Review of Economics and Statistics, 100(2), 287–302. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_00677 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1162/REST_a_00677
Zaim, O. (2004). Measuring environmental performance of state manufacturing through changes in pollution intensities: A DEA framework. Ecological Economics, 48(1), 37–47. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2003.08.003 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2003.08.003
--0--
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
American Journal of Trade and Policy is an Open Access journal. Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal the right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a CC BY-NC 4.0 International License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of their work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal. We require authors to inform us of any instances of re-publication.